Broncos-Patriots: Week 12 Inside The Numbers

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When the Denver Broncos face the New England Patriots at Gillette stadium tomorrow night, the weather will play a factor in the outcome. The forecast for the game calls for blustery winds with temperatures in the mid-20’s. Despite that, the Wise guys in Vegas have kept the odds favoring Denver by 2.5 points. Considering homefield advantage is worth a Field Goal, in reality, this contest could go either way.

Here are a few more numbers worth considering.

Football Outsiders Week 11 DVOA Ratings

 

                             Broncos      Patriots

Overall……………..1st………….6th

Offense…………….1st…………11th

Defense………….17th…………14th

Special Teams….9th…………..3rd

 

Pro Football Focus Rankings

                                  Broncos    Patriots

Overall Offense……1st………….13th

Run Offense……….28th………..12th

Pass Offense……….2nd…………17th

Overall Defense….11th…………19th

Run Defense………11th…………15th

Pass Rush…………..16th…………31st

Pass Coverage……11th…………10th

Special Teams……1st…………….4th

Advanced NFL Stats Team Efficiency Rankings: Week 11

                       Broncos    Patriots

Overall………3rd…………11th

Offense………1st…………13th

Defense……..17th……….15th

BRONCOS/PATRIOTS 2013 TEAM COMPARISON

                                                                   BRONCOS                         PATRIOTS

Record…………………………………………….9-1………………………………7-3

Division Standing……………………………1st (AFCW)………………….1st (AFCE)

Coaches vs. Opp……………………………..Del Rio: 0-5………………..Belichick: 6-10

Turnover Margin……………………………-2 (T-18th)…………………..+7 (6th)

OFFENSE

Net Yards Per Game………………………455.5 (1st)……………………364.0 (11th)

Yards Per Play………………………………..6.4 (2nd)……………………..5.2 (21st)

Points Per Game…………………………….39.8 (1st)…………………….25.4 (8th)

Time of Possession Avg…………………..29:38………………………….28:51

Net Rushing Yards Per Game………….105.1 (20th)………………..126.9 (9th)

Net Passing Yards Per Game……………350.4 (1st)………………….237.1 (16th)

Had Intercepted/Yards…………………….6/105…………………………7/25

Sacks Allowed/Yards……………………….13/78 (2nd)…………………28/181 (21st)

Fumbles/Lost…………………………………..21/13………………………….13/5

Third Down Pct……………………………….48.0% (2nd)………………..35.8% (21st)

Red Zone TD Pct……………………………..79.1% (1st)…………………..51.2% (21st)

Giveaways………………………………………19 (T-24th)………………….12 (T-4th)

DEFENSE

Net Yards Per Game………………………..371.8 (23rd)…………………354.9 (20th)

Yards Per Play…………………………………5.4 (19th)…………………….5.1 (11th)

Points Per Game………………………………25.5 (23rd)…………………..19.9 (7th)

Net Rushing Yards Per Game…………..92.7 (4th)……………………125.7 (27th)

Net Passing Yards Per Game……………279.1 (28th)…………………229.2 (12th)

Intercepted By/Yard………………………..13/136 (6th)…………………12/143 (9th)

Sacks For/Yards……………………………….29/211 (13th)……………….32/211 (7th)

Opponent Fumbles/Lost…………………..12/4…………………………….12/7

Third Down Pct……………………………….37.6% (T-15th)……………..42.7% (29th)

Red Zone TD Pct………………………………59.0% (21st)…………………51.6% (11th)

Takeaways……………………………………….17 (T-14th)…………………..19 (T-10th)

SPECIAL TEAMS

Punts-Average Yards (Gross)……………45.5 (12th)…………………..46.1 (9th)

Punts-Average Yards (Net)……………….40.5 (T-11th)……………….39.8 (T-15th)

Punt Returns-Average………………………10.3 (10th)…………………..11.6 (8th)

Punt Returns-Avg Allowed………………..9.6 (18th)…………………….9.3 (16th)

Kickoff Returns-Average…………………..29.1 (1st)……………………..21.9 (23rd)

Kickoff Returns-Avg Allowed……………24.6 (21st)…………………..20.1 (2nd)

Field Goals Made/Attempted……………14/15………………………….24/25

PENALTIES

Penalties Against/Yards…………………….71/614………………………..46/457

Opponent Penalties Against/Yards…….65/501……………………….73/608

 

The Patriots have won 3 of the last 4 Home meetings between these two teams. The last time the Broncos were victorious in New England came in 2006, by the score of 17-7. However, the Broncos are 20-2 since losing 31-21 at New England last October.

Go Broncos!

– Kaptain Kirk

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