Broncos-Patriots AFC Championship: By The Numbers

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Broncos vs Patriots

When the (12-4) New England Patriots visit the (13-3) Denver Broncos this Sunday for the AFC Championship, they will do so as 5.5 point underdogs. Imagine that. The most proficient NFL organization in the last decade with 3 Super Bowl playing the dark horse. Since the last time these two teams met needed Overtime to resolve, I find it hard to imagine a spread more than a Field Goal. It matters little in the grand scheme of things, but since we are discussing numbers, it required more than a passing glance.

Denver is 2-1 all-time against New England in the postseason, including a 2-0 record at Home. They have a 19-17 all-time record in postseason play (14-4 at Home), including a 6-2 mark in AFC Championship Games (4-1 at Home). Tom Brady (10-4) has the edge over Peyton Manning in Head-to-Head matchups and 2-1 in the postseason, but each have won once when they have faced one another in AFC Championship games.

Peyton Manning:

“It’s the Broncos versus the Patriots. “Certainly Tom and I have played against each other a lot. But when you get to the AFC Championship Game, it’s about two good teams that have been through a lot to get there.”

Here is how the rest of the stats shake out.

Week 19 DVOA Ratings from Football Outsiders

                         BRONCOS       PATRIOTS

Overall………….3rd……………..2nd

Offense…………3rd………………1st

Defense…………9th……………..22nd

Special Tms…..28th…………….6th

 

BRONCOS/PATRIOTS 2013 REGULAR-SEASON

 

                                                                     BRONCOS                        PATRIOTS

Turnover Margin…………………………EVEN (T-14th)…………….+9 (8th)

 

OFFENSE                                               BRONCOS                           PATRIOTS

Net Yards Per Game……………………457.3 (1st)…………………….384.5 (7th)

Yards Per Play……………………………..6.3 (2nd)……………………….5.4 (11th)

Points Per Game…………………………37.9 (1st)……………………….27.8 (3rd)

Possession Average……………………..30:06……………………………29:38

Net Rushing Yds Per Game…………117.1 (15th)………………….129.1 (9th)

Net Passing Yds Per Game…………..340.3 (1st)…………………….255.4 (10th)

Had Intercepted/Yards………………..10 (T-5th)……………………..11 (T-7th)

Sacks Allowed/Yards……………………20 (1st)…………………………40 (T-12th)

Fumbles/Lost……………………………….27/16……………………………24/9

3rd Down Pct………………………………46.3% (2nd)………………….37.6% (16th)

Red Zone TD Pct………………………….76.1% (1st)……………………55.4% (15th)

Giveaways……………………………………26 (T-17th)……………………20 (T-8th)

 

DEFENSE                                               BRONCOS                          PATRIOTS

Net Yards Per Game…………………….356.0 (19th)…………………373.1 (26th)

Yards Per Play……………………………..5.3 (16th)……………………..5.3 (17th)

Points Per Game………………………….24.9 (22nd)………………….21.1 (10th)

Net Rushing Yds Per Game………….101.6 (8th)…………………..134.1 (30th)

Net Passing Yds Per Game……………254.4 (27th)………………..239.0 (18th)

Intercepted By/Yards……………………17 (T-12th)………………….17 (T-12th)

Sacks For/Yards……………………………41 (T-13th)………………….48 (5th)

Opponent Fumbles/Lost……………….25/9……………………………21/12

3rd Down Pct………………………………..38.1% (16th)……………….42.2% (26th)

Red Zone TD Pct……………………………61.7% (25th)……………….56.0% (16th)

Takeaways……………………………………..26 (T-16th)………………….29 (T-10th)

 

SPECIAL TEAMS                                     BRONCOS                       PATRIOTS

Punts-Avg Yards (Gross)………………..43.8 (24th)…………………45.8 (10th)

Punts-Avg Yards (Net)……………………38.8 (23rd)…………………39.8 (16th)

Punt Returns-Avg…………………………..7.8 (T-22nd)………………10.8 (11th)

Punt Returns-Avg Allowed…………….9.8 (23rd)………………….7.6 (9th)

Kickoff Returns-Avg………………………25.0 (6th)…………………..24.0 (T-11th)

Kickoff Returns-Avg Allowed………..29.3 (32nd)………………..20.8 (6th)

Field Goals Made/Attempted…………25/26………………………..38/41

PENALTIES

Penalties Against/Yd………………………117/1,000…………………..69/625

Opponent Penalties Against/Yds……97/807………………………110/951

 

The preliminary weather forecast is calling for Sunny skies and a temperature range of 29/61f.

Per Pro Football Talk, Referee Tony Corrente will officiate the game with an all-star crew. Officials for conference championship weekend are all mixed with officials that graded out strongly during the regular season. Those officials drawing conference championship assignments consist of those rating as the highest two overall percentages at each position of any not already working the Super Bowl.

Corrente was the head referee for Super Bowl XLI between the Indianapolis Colts and Chicago Bears. Corrente also worked the 2009 AFC Championship game between the New York Jets and Indianapolis Colts and the 2000 NFC Championship between the Minnesota Vikings and New York Giants.

 

Go Broncos!

– Kaptain Kirk

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